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Posts posted by Fidgits
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oh - and think about it...
Whether 'horoscopes' or 'mediums' or whatever, they will always discuss one of four topics...
Health, wealth, family and friends...
why? simply because these are key issues to almost everyone...
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i have always taken a scientific approach to things. but isn't "coincidence" the around about way of saying "we dont know"?
Interpretation is a good explanation though. Do we have any psychologist who could give an example of how ESP is perceived to work in the mind, and in which cases we are vulnerable to these instances?
As for the latter...
Its really easy. Click here
A perfect example of ambiguity and interpretation..
Just read them, they have ambiguous statements, such as 'increase your financial situation' (taken from Aries) which could mean one of many things. They also suggest a course of thought, such as 'it could mean starting a side buisness' which of course, could lead you to consider this action, which you may not have previously done...
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no.
Coincidence is just an event that has a very low probability of happening.
For instance, your walking down the street, saying 'I havent seen Bill in a while' turn the corner and he's there...
Thats coincidence - something that happens that is unlikely... but that doesnt make it anymore 'sprirital' than walking down the street talking about Bill, turning the corner and bumping into Bob...
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mind you, which ever way the statistics go, the goverment will manipulate them...
If accidents increase, it justifies why the cameras need to be there
if they decrease, its because the cameras are there..
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But were British...
Our way, whether its bad service or goverment policy, is to accept it... then go off grumbling and complaining to ourselves/each other...
mind you.... you have to say, they have stopped accidents on the M4... oh wait, no, there has been 2 since they came into force on Friday.... oh, and wait a minute, thats an increase in the rate of accidents not a reduction!
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seriously....
almost all instances of 'telepathy' or 'esp' can be put down to either:
a. Conincedence
b. Interpretation
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I prefer Paul Smith suits myself - there is a Paul Smith shop in Manchester.
I would say dont worry about "names" and go and see a local tailor.
A well tailored, bespoke suit will blow Versace out of the water.
For the price of a decent Armani, you could get a very nice tailored suit from a decent tailor - there are a couple of good ones in London..
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Revealed: how the Home Office hides the true level of crime
By Daniel Foggo and Carl Fellstrom
Sunday Telegraph 17/04/2005
The Government is misleading the public on the true level of crime in Britain by instructing police forces not to record many offences, while simultaneously logging crimes in which nobody is convicted or even taken to court as "detected".
This week the Government will release its latest quarterly figures for recorded crime in England and Wales, the last such release before the general election. But regardless of whether they show an overall fall or rise, they will give a highly distorted picture.
Multiple offences can be logged as a single crime
A detailed analysis by The Telegraph of the Home Office's "counting rules" - the instructions that are given to all forces each April telling them how to compile their official crime statistics - has revealed that the Government has expanded the range of "get-outs" that allow officers to ignore many crimes while taking credit for solving others that have not resulted in successful prosecutions.
In some instances, even if the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS), which usually has the last word in deciding whether someone should be charged, declares that there is no evidence at all to sustain a prosecution, the police are allowed to claim that they have "detected" the relevant crimes. In this way, a police force that has problems with proper evidence gathering and whose prosecutions have a tendency to collapse can still present a glowing "detection" record.
In the last prime minister's questions before the election campaign began, Mr Blair boasted: "It's a well established fact that crime has been falling for years."
In February he said: "The important thing is crime is actually down, not up. However, that is no consolation if you are a victim of crime. There are also record numbers of police but people don't always see them out on the street."
The revelations on the "counting rules" put into stark relief the Government's claim that it has recently broadened the criteria by which crimes are logged, resulting in a rise in recorded incidents. In fact, under a sub-clause in the counting rules, the police are allowed to record only "one crime per person". In an incident where several crimes are committed by the same person against the same victim, only the most serious single crime is recorded.
An example given is that "a house is entered [burglary], the female occupant is raped [rape] and her car is stolen from the driveway [vehicle theft]". The statistics must overlook the burglary and car theft, the Government has ordered. The record should read only: "One crime of rape."
In another get-out, police are also told to log multiple offences as only one crime if they are all reported at the same time.
The rules make it clear that any number of crimes can be distilled down to a single figure simply according to the timing of when they are reported. One example states: "[if] A threatens B on three occasions [and] B reports the threats to the police on each occasion a threat is made [it is] three crimes. [if] B reports the three occurrences at the same time [it is] one crime."
The counting rules also stipulate how police forces must record "detected" crime. Most members of the public would understand the term detected to mean solved, or cleared up.
In fact, under the counting rules definition, it means only that the police have an idea of who may have carried out the crime and usually have enough evidence to charge him or her. It does not correspond to the number of people convicted, or even to those appearing in court. As the rules state, a crime is detected if someone is charged or summonsed "irrespective of any subsequent acquittal".
Despite this revelation, the last annual published figures showed "detection rates" across England and Wales of only 24 per cent.
The rules on penalty charges, which since last year have been used by all of Britain's police forces to deal with low-level "nuisance" crime, such as shoplifting and public disorder, also enable the police to claim better results than they are achieving. Offences for which a penalty notice has been issued can be logged as detected", even if the CPS subsequently decides there is not enough - or, indeed, any - evidence to support it.
If an alleged offender contests a penalty notice, the case is referred to a magistrates' court. Before going to trial, the prosecution must be approved by the CPS, who may decide there is insufficient evidence to proceed. Yet for the purposes of the official crime statistics, the police can ignore such a finding by the CPS, simply by having one of the force's "designated decision makers" (DDM) - usually an officer of the rank of sergeant - state that he is happy with the issuing of the penalty notice. Although the penalty notice goes no further, the alleged crime is still registered as "detected".
In all other crimes, from murder downwards, if the case is dropped before or during a trial because the police have not gathered enough evidence, it is still logged as "detected". The rules state: "If the case is discontinued on evidential grounds, then the detection should not be cancelled if a DDM still stands by the reasons for charging."
Norman Brennan, a serving police officer and the director of the Victims of Crime Trust, a charity that supports people affected by serious crime, said that most people would imagine that "detection" rates related to those convicted. "We in the police know that detection rates are nothing of the sort, but the public do not" he said. "If we recorded crime accurately the public would be astounded. Violence against the person is up by 90 per cent over the last five years but the true figure is four times that."
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2 for me please boss.... :D
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thanks for the info - unfortunatley i dont know anyone in the trade - so thats a hinderence... but we'll see...
Just shop around mate and dont except your first quote. There are some right rip off merchants out there and i can honestly say from experience generally the more they charge the worse the workmanship and after service. Funnily enough i done some work yesterday for an elderly guy who was charged £2800 to swap over a boiler. Same boiler, same place, he was told the boiler was £2000 in fact it can be bought for just over £450. The robber who charged him done a duff job, left no number and didnt even warrant it up. He called me to put it right, he nearly died when he found out i would have done the same job under 1K.
well, since your not that far from me - I might call you for a quote...
and if i need electrics doing, there is always Barrie ;)
Just need a builder now :D
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thanks for the info - unfortunatley i dont know anyone in the trade - so thats a hinderence... but we'll see...
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well, im not looking at it as an investment, well not really.
I'm trying to get onto the property ladder, and struggling - and although this house isnt exactly what i want, if it was a bargin, i'd be happy with it, at least for a couple of years - then move on...
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woah guys - im not about to start knocking down walls...
I think it will just need the walls stripping and repainting... I can get the kitchen and bathroom proffesionally done? no?
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okay, following my housing thread, in which you all were very helpful thanks..
Someone mentioned reposessed houses...
Well i found one through an estate agent, now its on at market value, because according to the agent 'they have to at least try to sell it for what its worth, but really, they just want to cover their loss.
Now, it needs a lot of work - well, not structurally, but it would need completley redecorating, new kitchen and bathroom etc...
I suggested making an offer of 1/3rd asking price, and he reckoned i might be lucky (he didnt know) which would be a bargin for the house, even with the work needed...
Now, my experience of updating a house is from Property ladder and not much else, but I reckoned i could do everything for easily less than £50k, which would still make this a bargin if i got it for the above offer... what do you think?
Also, are there any hidden dangers with repossed houses?
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this is transport2000 - bet you thought that name sounded futuristic 8 years ago fella's!
They are a bunch of tree-huggers, who probably drive the worst CO2 polluting cars you can find, and find any reason to cause a stir..
You know what - i agree, TV programs CAN cause people to do things..
I say we ban Coronation Street, didnt they have a serial killer in one story? not to mention lots of other things we wouldnt want a housewife running out and doing - same for eastenders and the rest of the soaps..
we could go on all day...
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what a dilemma the officiers must face:
I need 20 points today - do I try and solve a rape and burglary or do I try and catch 4 motorists with minor infringments..
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It seems Labour has introduced a points system for Thames Valley police...
And guess what...
Under the scheme, police will be given ten points for arresting a rapist or burglar compared with five for a motorist talking on a mobile phone or someone committing an affray or a public order offence.Yep, if a policeman catches 2 people driving while on their mobile phone - this is equivalent to catching a rapist....
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the problem is, as they are the vans, they can be anywhere...
But from that perspective, its being run by Wiltshire, so Hungerford-Bath is the stretch covered..
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yep...
and guess what - no visible GATSO's here - just 'safety vans' on bridges...
What joy my journeys will become :(
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yes the email was a hoax....
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why are you confused?
THere was a product recall on early ones because they could burn you - they have never, nor could they, spontaneously combust and cause a large enough flame to burn your house down...
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damn...
here was me hunting for the urban myth (unsuccessfully i might add) and i come back with some feeble evidence, and find i was beaten to it earlier :(
I did find this though, which was probably the 'spark' (excuse the pun) for the myth...
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Interesting..
You would think that they would have to have passed lots of test to prove this doesnt happen, otherwise they wouldnt be allowed to sell them..
Off Topic!
in Lexus Owners Club Lounge
Posted
I have an unlimited service with Wanadoo (got it a long time ago)..
There are some good deals out there.. like http://www.ukonline.net//8000/contents.php